Race 3B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 20.5% 20.2% 16.5% 14.7% 11.2% 8.8% 5.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Killian Corbishley 12.4% 13.4% 15.7% 15.1% 15.1% 13.3% 8.2% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Corina Radtke 15.2% 15.4% 15.3% 14.6% 16.3% 11.8% 7.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Lauren Turner 25.3% 21.8% 19.5% 14.2% 10.0% 4.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Brooke Lyon 11.0% 10.9% 12.1% 14.1% 14.7% 16.1% 11.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Amanda Tooker 4.3% 3.2% 4.1% 5.3% 6.6% 10.1% 16.6% 25.2% 18.0% 6.6%
Erica Lush 6.6% 9.6% 10.6% 11.9% 14.6% 16.9% 14.7% 11.1% 3.2% 0.8%
Leeds Pierce 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 6.7% 13.1% 34.0% 34.0%
Michelle Czarnecki 3.3% 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 6.8% 11.2% 21.4% 23.2% 14.5% 4.9%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 3.4% 5.1% 8.2% 25.7% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.