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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.51+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.23vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19-1.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11+0.17vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.90-3.42vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of Hawaii0.515.9%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Berkeley0.748.3%1st Place
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1.89Stanford University2.1948.9%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.0813.6%1st Place
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5.17University of Washington0.114.7%1st Place
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6.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.802.5%1st Place
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3.58University of Southern California0.9012.8%1st Place
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6.71Arizona State University-0.392.5%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 5.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.3% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 48.9% | 27.2% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 13.6% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 29.6% | 17.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 12.8% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 21.9% | 28.9% | 15.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 17.4% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.