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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.22vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.88+2.29vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.43-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.99-0.71vs Predicted
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5Denison University-1.82-0.67vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.72-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22University of Michigan1.700.8%1st Place
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4.29Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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2.68Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.33Denison University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.18Northern Michigan University-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 80.9% | 16.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Atkins | 1.5% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 31.7% | 18.7% |
| Austin Lee | 10.4% | 39.2% | 29.1% | 15.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 4.5% | 22.6% | 30.9% | 26.2% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Sam Ferrone | 1.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 23.0% | 30.1% | 21.1% |
| Logan Bedford | 1.0% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.