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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.70+2.64vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-1.06+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.99-0.27vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.43-1.89vs Predicted
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5Denison University-1.90-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-4.18-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Michigan State University-1.700.1%1st Place
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2.84Northern Michigan University-1.060.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Iowa-0.990.2%1st Place
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2.11Western Michigan University-0.430.4%1st Place
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3.93Denison University-1.900.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Michigan-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Bohn | 9.3% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 29.6% | 4.2% |
| Jessica Gula | 20.6% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 20.9% | 12.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 22.5% | 24.3% | 23.6% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 0.7% |
| Austin Lee | 39.4% | 27.1% | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| William Griswold | 7.6% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 36.4% | 7.5% |
| William Buckfire | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.