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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.28vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.70+2.53vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.06+0.72vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.43-1.02vs Predicted
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5Denison University-1.90-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-0.99-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28University of Michigan1.700.8%1st Place
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4.53Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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3.72Northern Michigan University-1.060.1%1st Place
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2.98Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.82Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 77.3% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 1.9% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 27.2% | 31.4% |
| Jessica Gula | 5.8% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 11.4% |
| Austin Lee | 8.7% | 30.8% | 29.2% | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% |
| William Griswold | 1.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 44.3% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 4.7% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 23.6% | 20.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.