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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.28vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.99+0.63vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.06-0.25vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.70-0.43vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.90-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28University of Michigan1.700.8%1st Place
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3.0Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.75Northern Michigan University-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.57Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.77Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 78.1% | 16.3% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 8.2% | 33.8% | 25.7% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 5.7% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 9.9% |
| Jessica Gula | 4.0% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 11.2% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 2.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 33.7% |
| William Griswold | 1.9% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.