Race 1A

central-series6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Logan Russell 8.6% 9.8% 10.8% 10.9% 12.2% 12.5% 13.2% 9.7% 7.2% 4.3% 0.8%
Austin Lettengarver 18.9% 16.4% 16.2% 11.9% 10.4% 10.1% 7.8% 5.1% 2.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Jacob Martz 12.6% 11.8% 10.9% 13.1% 10.9% 12.6% 10.6% 9.3% 5.1% 2.7% 0.4%
Haley Kachmar 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 7.3% 7.8% 12.9% 20.1% 20.1% 10.8%
Chris Colbeth 4.1% 4.4% 4.7% 6.3% 7.3% 6.7% 8.9% 12.6% 17.1% 18.5% 9.4%
Taylor Nathanson 11.7% 12.3% 12.4% 10.3% 13.0% 11.1% 10.9% 9.6% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8%
David Tampellini 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 6.5% 9.8% 15.9% 24.8% 23.3%
Dylan Farrell 10.8% 10.7% 11.8% 13.1% 10.9% 10.8% 10.4% 10.8% 6.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Drake Lyon 13.3% 15.0% 12.5% 13.3% 12.9% 9.8% 9.8% 6.7% 3.7% 2.6% 0.4%
Alex Moreno 13.5% 11.7% 12.6% 11.1% 11.6% 12.0% 10.7% 7.9% 5.8% 2.8% 0.3%
Justin Tedeschi 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 5.6% 10.1% 18.2% 53.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.