Race 3A

central-series6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Beatty 20.1% 21.4% 15.0% 14.7% 12.1% 8.5% 5.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 8.6% 7.7% 10.4% 10.5% 10.4% 11.5% 14.8% 12.8% 8.4% 3.9% 1.0%
Chris Colbeth 3.2% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 6.3% 8.5% 13.8% 22.1% 19.4% 9.8%
Jacob Martz 9.6% 9.3% 9.0% 10.3% 15.1% 12.0% 12.9% 10.9% 8.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Jackson McCoy 19.1% 14.0% 16.0% 14.5% 11.7% 10.1% 6.7% 5.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Alex Moreno 9.4% 10.8% 10.3% 9.6% 11.5% 14.1% 13.0% 10.7% 6.3% 3.6% 0.7%
Justin Tedeschi 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 1.3% 1.2% 3.4% 6.1% 9.1% 17.9% 55.0%
David Tampellini 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 1.8% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 10.5% 16.1% 28.2% 23.5%
Austin Lettengarver 13.1% 12.2% 14.8% 14.1% 11.4% 12.2% 9.9% 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Haley Kachmar 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.6% 7.2% 9.1% 14.8% 18.1% 21.3% 8.6%
Drake Lyon 11.5% 14.3% 12.7% 13.5% 11.6% 12.3% 10.4% 7.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.