Race 4A

central-series6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Austin Lettengarver 11.3% 14.2% 13.1% 15.4% 13.2% 11.8% 11.1% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Drake Lyon 11.8% 12.1% 13.7% 11.6% 13.6% 10.2% 13.0% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 9.3% 9.1% 11.2% 10.8% 13.7% 13.3% 11.6% 12.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Jackson McCoy 16.2% 14.8% 16.7% 14.1% 12.7% 10.8% 8.7% 4.1% 0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 9.2% 8.1% 9.8% 10.1% 10.7% 11.3% 14.4% 13.3% 8.2% 4.3% 0.6%
Reed Lorimer 8.7% 10.3% 10.9% 10.7% 11.8% 14.4% 12.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.6% 0.6%
Madeleine Whittier 2.4% 4.3% 2.2% 3.8% 4.0% 6.7% 8.0% 13.0% 21.8% 21.4% 12.4%
Haley Kachmar 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 5.4% 5.2% 8.1% 9.1% 15.6% 19.3% 18.2% 9.1%
Justin Tedeschi 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 5.2% 10.8% 16.0% 57.0%
David Tampellini 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.8% 5.6% 10.6% 17.3% 30.4% 19.7%
James Beatty 25.3% 21.1% 14.9% 14.0% 10.1% 6.6% 4.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.