Race 5A

central-series6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Martz 7.9% 9.4% 13.2% 12.1% 13.1% 13.2% 12.1% 10.3% 6.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Austin Lettengarver 13.8% 14.3% 14.6% 13.5% 11.6% 11.9% 10.5% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Reed Lorimer 8.3% 9.5% 9.7% 13.0% 10.3% 12.7% 15.6% 10.7% 6.5% 3.4% 0.3%
Dylan Farrell 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 13.2% 13.8% 13.5% 12.3% 8.9% 4.4% 0.8%
Madeleine Whittier 2.3% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 8.6% 13.6% 17.5% 22.7% 15.6%
Drake Lyon 12.4% 11.6% 11.0% 14.8% 13.4% 11.6% 8.5% 9.1% 4.7% 2.6% 0.3%
Haley Kachmar 3.4% 4.5% 2.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.6% 9.1% 15.9% 20.1% 16.9% 8.8%
Justin Tedeschi 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 3.6% 6.6% 11.4% 19.4% 51.3%
Jackson McCoy 17.4% 16.3% 15.6% 12.0% 13.1% 11.2% 8.4% 3.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
David Tampellini 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.0% 9.9% 18.6% 26.5% 22.3%
James Beatty 24.5% 21.3% 17.3% 12.7% 9.2% 6.8% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.