Race 4B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erica Lush 8.7% 9.2% 11.0% 11.3% 12.4% 17.3% 15.6% 9.8% 3.9% 0.8%
Genoa Warner 19.8% 17.3% 17.9% 15.1% 14.5% 8.3% 4.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Amanda Tooker 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 9.4% 14.9% 26.0% 20.9% 5.9%
Corina Radtke 13.8% 17.3% 16.0% 16.7% 14.1% 11.3% 6.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Killian Corbishley 13.1% 14.0% 14.9% 17.0% 14.4% 13.1% 7.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Brooke Lyon 11.4% 11.6% 11.9% 13.1% 13.7% 15.4% 14.0% 7.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Michelle Czarnecki 2.7% 2.6% 5.3% 4.8% 8.0% 13.1% 20.2% 24.8% 14.7% 3.8%
Lauren Turner 26.3% 22.5% 17.0% 14.2% 9.7% 6.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Leeds Pierce 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 4.1% 2.6% 8.1% 12.8% 33.3% 34.4%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 2.2% 2.7% 5.6% 8.7% 23.1% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.