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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.44+1.89vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-1.78vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05-2.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University2.4427.7%1st Place
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3.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.6%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.9%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Berkeley0.865.8%1st Place
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3.79University of Washington1.8316.5%1st Place
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4.22University of Southern California1.4012.6%1st Place
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6.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Hawaii1.057.8%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 27.7% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.6% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Luke Harris | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 13.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 3.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.