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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+4.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+3.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74-0.38vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.11+2.21vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33+0.54vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.38-2.68vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.76-0.22vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.38-6.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.06-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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4.62Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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7.54Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.78Fairfield University0.760.0%1st Place
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3.28Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Drake Lyon | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 23.4% | 14.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| David Tampellini | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 26.5% | 25.5% |
| James Beatty | 24.1% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 20.9% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.