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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+4.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+2.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+2.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.33+3.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.11+3.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-2.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.38-1.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.81vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.06+0.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.38-6.71vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.76-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.62Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.61Fairfield University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lyon | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Haley Kachmar | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 20.0% | 9.3% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 23.0% | 12.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 54.9% |
| James Beatty | 24.0% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 26.2% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.