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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Martz 8.3% 9.6% 12.2% 12.1% 12.9% 12.7% 13.6% 9.8% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Austin Lettengarver 14.2% 13.0% 14.1% 15.1% 12.8% 11.3% 8.4% 6.5% 3.9% 0.4% 0.3%
Reed Lorimer 8.4% 9.1% 9.7% 11.6% 12.5% 12.2% 14.0% 10.5% 8.0% 3.7% 0.3%
Jackson McCoy 16.2% 15.9% 15.5% 14.4% 12.6% 10.5% 8.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Drake Lyon 12.9% 12.6% 11.7% 12.5% 12.3% 12.2% 10.5% 9.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Dylan Farrell 7.6% 9.0% 9.3% 11.5% 11.0% 13.3% 12.9% 11.5% 7.5% 5.4% 1.0%
Haley Kachmar 3.7% 4.1% 3.3% 4.2% 6.2% 7.9% 9.7% 15.3% 19.8% 18.4% 7.4%
James Beatty 23.8% 21.1% 17.9% 10.5% 10.6% 8.3% 4.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Madeleine Whittier 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 3.9% 9.1% 12.8% 21.2% 21.3% 15.5%
Justin Tedeschi 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 5.5% 11.2% 18.0% 54.1%
David Tampellini 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 5.5% 6.4% 11.7% 15.9% 28.4% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.