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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+4.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+2.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14-0.08vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74-0.38vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38-0.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33+0.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.38-4.76vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.11-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.06-0.26vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.76-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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4.62Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.51Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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8.64Fairfield University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 14.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Reed Lorimer | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.2% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 7.4% |
| James Beatty | 23.8% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 21.3% | 15.5% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 54.1% |
| David Tampellini | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 28.4% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.