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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Austin Lettengarver 11.6% 13.4% 15.3% 12.7% 14.8% 12.5% 9.5% 6.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 9.5% 9.8% 10.9% 11.8% 10.9% 14.7% 11.8% 9.6% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Jacob Martz 10.2% 8.6% 11.0% 11.3% 11.7% 13.5% 14.8% 9.9% 6.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Drake Lyon 10.3% 11.1% 11.2% 13.7% 14.9% 11.9% 11.4% 9.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Madeleine Whittier 2.6% 3.2% 3.0% 2.6% 5.6% 5.0% 8.6% 15.1% 18.1% 21.9% 14.3%
Jackson McCoy 16.6% 16.8% 16.2% 15.8% 9.9% 9.7% 7.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
James Beatty 25.2% 20.0% 15.5% 14.8% 9.8% 7.1% 3.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Haley Kachmar 3.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.3% 6.0% 7.9% 9.8% 15.6% 19.0% 19.0% 8.4%
David Tampellini 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 2.3% 4.1% 5.8% 8.8% 19.5% 25.5% 25.1%
Dylan Farrell 8.4% 10.6% 9.8% 9.9% 12.0% 11.0% 14.4% 11.6% 8.0% 3.8% 0.5%
Justin Tedeschi 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 5.8% 11.1% 21.5% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.