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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+3.37vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+3.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+2.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.74+0.79vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.11+3.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-2.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-3.78vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.33-0.38vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.76-0.23vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.38-4.66vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.06-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.79Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.07Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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3.22Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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7.62Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.77Fairfield University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lettengarver | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Martz | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 14.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.6% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 25.2% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 8.4% |
| David Tampellini | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 19.5% | 25.5% | 25.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.