Race 1B

central-series6

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jake Rizika 7.1% 8.9% 8.3% 11.5% 11.8% 13.9% 13.1% 11.3% 7.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 8.3% 9.2% 11.1% 11.7% 13.4% 11.8% 11.5% 12.3% 6.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Peter Lynn 17.7% 17.0% 16.5% 12.5% 12.6% 11.4% 5.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 5.9% 7.9% 9.3% 10.1% 11.0% 12.6% 12.5% 11.3% 10.6% 5.4% 2.7% 0.7%
Nicholas Karnovsky 24.2% 21.1% 17.4% 11.7% 10.1% 7.0% 4.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Campbell 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 7.7% 12.6% 19.7% 25.2% 15.9%
Robby Gearon 20.9% 18.2% 15.6% 14.4% 10.8% 7.7% 7.8% 2.2% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.5% 7.1% 10.3% 11.5% 13.7% 15.2% 11.5% 5.1% 2.5%
Liam Ballantyne 5.6% 6.8% 9.1% 9.6% 11.0% 11.0% 14.3% 14.1% 10.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Brian Reilly 0.9% 1.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 6.2% 10.3% 17.8% 25.9% 24.6%
Arthur Milot 2.8% 1.7% 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 6.7% 8.0% 11.5% 17.2% 19.7% 14.4% 5.4%
Erin Godfrey 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 2.6% 2.8% 5.3% 11.5% 21.3% 50.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.