Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Karnovsky 22.5% 20.1% 19.1% 13.3% 10.4% 7.4% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 6.2% 8.4% 8.8% 10.9% 10.9% 12.3% 11.2% 13.5% 10.2% 5.0% 2.5% 0.1%
Molly Pleskus 10.6% 8.0% 9.7% 10.9% 14.0% 12.5% 12.3% 10.9% 6.7% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 3.3% 4.2% 5.4% 8.1% 8.7% 8.1% 14.2% 12.2% 15.2% 13.0% 6.1% 1.5%
Jake Rizika 7.6% 8.5% 9.3% 12.9% 11.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.1% 7.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Peter Lynn 17.4% 17.3% 16.7% 14.3% 12.3% 9.3% 6.9% 2.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Milot 3.1% 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.3% 7.6% 9.1% 11.9% 14.8% 18.3% 12.7% 5.9%
Robby Gearon 20.5% 19.1% 15.2% 13.4% 11.1% 9.4% 5.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Campbell 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 9.4% 14.6% 18.6% 23.6% 15.4%
Liam Ballantyne 5.9% 7.0% 8.7% 8.4% 9.8% 12.8% 12.0% 13.7% 11.4% 7.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Brian Reilly 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 2.2% 2.3% 4.6% 5.9% 10.6% 16.5% 26.3% 26.7%
Erin Godfrey 0.4% 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 10.4% 24.2% 49.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.