Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Karnovsky 18.6% 16.7% 17.2% 16.5% 11.1% 8.5% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Lynn 13.7% 15.4% 14.1% 15.1% 12.6% 9.0% 9.2% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Rizika 7.7% 7.2% 7.2% 9.2% 9.7% 11.0% 13.4% 12.8% 11.8% 7.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Robby Gearon 15.2% 16.7% 14.2% 13.0% 12.0% 11.1% 7.1% 6.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 8.5% 7.6% 9.3% 11.1% 12.2% 11.8% 12.5% 10.2% 8.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Emilia Clementi 6.0% 5.6% 8.3% 7.3% 9.0% 12.2% 13.0% 12.0% 13.4% 8.3% 4.0% 0.9%
Liam Ballantyne 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.6% 9.3% 10.9% 10.3% 13.6% 13.5% 9.8% 5.7% 1.7%
Alp Rodopman 18.4% 17.3% 14.5% 11.9% 13.0% 8.4% 7.5% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
James Maguire 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 8.6% 9.7% 13.6% 16.1% 19.9% 11.5% 3.1%
Arthur Milot 2.4% 2.6% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.2% 6.9% 8.8% 15.9% 22.5% 18.1% 6.9%
Brian Reilly 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 3.5% 4.1% 7.1% 14.5% 32.3% 31.1%
Erin Godfrey 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 3.7% 3.8% 7.3% 23.2% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.