Race 4B

central-series6

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Karnovsky 18.7% 17.4% 15.5% 16.7% 10.7% 9.6% 4.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Alp Rodopman 15.9% 17.4% 15.1% 13.6% 12.7% 9.1% 7.5% 4.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 6.3% 5.2% 5.9% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 12.1% 13.8% 15.1% 11.1% 5.0% 0.6%
Peter Lynn 13.4% 15.4% 15.5% 12.5% 13.0% 9.4% 8.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 9.0% 9.1% 10.4% 14.0% 12.2% 12.1% 9.8% 4.3% 0.9%
Robby Gearon 16.1% 15.0% 15.4% 13.6% 10.9% 12.1% 7.1% 6.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Jake Rizika 7.5% 7.8% 9.0% 7.7% 11.2% 11.5% 13.1% 11.7% 9.5% 7.1% 3.2% 0.7%
Samuel Shea 9.9% 8.4% 9.7% 10.1% 11.3% 12.5% 11.1% 12.0% 7.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.3%
James Maguire 2.4% 2.3% 3.7% 3.6% 6.4% 7.9% 10.3% 11.2% 19.0% 18.5% 11.5% 3.2%
Arthur Milot 2.0% 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 11.3% 14.5% 22.5% 18.1% 7.0%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.9% 7.4% 14.3% 32.0% 31.5%
Erin Godfrey 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 7.8% 23.1% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.