Race 5B

central-series6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Lynn 14.6% 12.8% 15.0% 13.8% 13.2% 9.9% 9.5% 6.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 5.0% 6.6% 6.7% 9.6% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 14.0% 13.5% 9.2% 3.3% 0.2%
Samuel Shea 9.8% 6.8% 9.5% 9.9% 10.3% 12.8% 12.6% 12.5% 9.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Jake Rizika 6.1% 6.6% 8.6% 10.5% 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 11.2% 10.9% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4%
Alp Rodopman 15.8% 18.9% 15.2% 12.6% 12.8% 8.9% 6.6% 5.2% 3.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 19.5% 19.7% 15.6% 13.3% 10.6% 9.0% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 5.9% 6.3% 6.5% 7.6% 9.4% 8.2% 12.3% 13.2% 12.7% 11.6% 4.8% 1.5%
Robby Gearon 17.8% 15.2% 14.9% 13.6% 9.3% 10.7% 8.3% 5.4% 3.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
James Maguire 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 6.0% 8.2% 10.0% 12.8% 14.6% 20.1% 13.2% 2.8%
Brian Reilly 0.4% 1.2% 1.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 4.1% 7.7% 14.0% 30.8% 30.0%
Arthur Milot 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 9.0% 15.0% 21.6% 19.9% 8.5%
Erin Godfrey 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 4.0% 7.5% 22.9% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.