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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alp Rodopman 16.2% 14.9% 15.8% 15.5% 12.1% 10.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 15.4% 16.0% 15.6% 13.3% 11.2% 9.4% 10.2% 4.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Lynn 15.6% 14.8% 14.3% 11.7% 12.5% 11.7% 9.5% 6.3% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 4.2% 5.0% 7.1% 7.2% 9.4% 8.9% 12.8% 14.3% 13.7% 11.5% 5.1% 0.8%
Jake Rizika 6.3% 8.1% 7.5% 9.6% 10.9% 11.3% 11.9% 12.1% 10.9% 8.3% 2.7% 0.4%
James Maguire 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 5.4% 4.7% 6.4% 7.8% 11.5% 16.5% 19.9% 14.2% 4.4%
Nicholas Karnovsky 20.6% 19.0% 15.9% 12.1% 11.6% 8.6% 5.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 7.0% 5.9% 7.1% 9.7% 8.5% 12.1% 10.8% 11.5% 13.2% 9.4% 4.2% 0.6%
Arthur Milot 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 3.3% 5.3% 5.4% 7.2% 12.4% 16.5% 20.7% 17.6% 5.6%
Samuel Shea 8.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 12.3% 12.5% 12.5% 7.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Brian Reilly 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 7.3% 14.3% 33.0% 30.6%
Erin Godfrey 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 5.0% 7.4% 21.1% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.