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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+2.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+2.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+1.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+2.73vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+1.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26+2.05vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-3.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.99-0.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32-4.54vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University0.12-0.77vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.43-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.08Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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4.18Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.260.0%1st Place
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3.59Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.28Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.23Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.91Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| James Maguire | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 20.6% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Arthur Milot | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 20.7% | 17.6% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Shea | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 33.0% | 30.6% |
| Erin Godfrey | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 21.1% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.