Race 5B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 21.1% 19.3% 16.4% 15.1% 11.2% 9.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Lauren Turner 26.1% 20.9% 18.1% 15.4% 8.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Tooker 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 5.2% 7.6% 8.6% 16.2% 26.7% 19.7% 5.8%
Killian Corbishley 11.6% 14.5% 15.7% 15.7% 13.9% 14.2% 9.3% 4.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 15.7% 15.3% 17.9% 15.6% 14.7% 11.0% 5.5% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 10.4% 12.5% 11.5% 12.5% 15.1% 14.4% 13.9% 7.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Michelle Czarnecki 3.0% 2.3% 5.6% 4.8% 9.9% 11.9% 21.0% 22.4% 14.8% 4.3%
Erica Lush 7.9% 9.7% 9.9% 11.6% 14.7% 18.7% 14.4% 9.4% 3.1% 0.6%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 4.2% 9.4% 24.3% 54.2%
Leeds Pierce 1.1% 0.4% 0.9% 2.8% 2.2% 3.1% 7.7% 13.0% 33.9% 34.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.