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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+3.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19-0.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.51-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.11-0.88vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+0.19vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of California at Berkeley0.748.8%1st Place
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1.92Stanford University2.1946.9%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.0811.9%1st Place
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3.58University of Southern California0.9015.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii0.516.6%1st Place
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5.12University of Washington0.115.7%1st Place
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6.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.802.5%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.5%1st Place
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6.72Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Katherine Olsen | 8.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Sophie Fisher | 46.9% | 28.5% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Evelyn Engebretson | 11.9% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Morgana Manti | 15.2% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Martha Schuessler | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
Sammy Farkas | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
Micaela Jorcino | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 29.2% | 16.2% |
Alexandra Toaxen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 17.7% | 64.1% |
Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 29.8% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.