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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+4.61vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+4.01vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+1.24vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+2.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-1.32vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26+2.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.04-4.10vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-5.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.99-1.53vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University0.12-0.79vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.43-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.24Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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6.4Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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3.68Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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3.9Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.9Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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10.21Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.88Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jake Rizika | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 19.2% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Maguire | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Alp Rodopman | 19.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.0% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 6.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 33.2% | 30.8% |
| Erin Godfrey | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 20.6% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.