Race 8B

central-series6

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Karnovsky 18.9% 17.4% 15.9% 16.2% 12.0% 8.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Lynn 14.2% 14.8% 14.8% 12.6% 14.1% 9.2% 8.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 10.1% 12.3% 14.3% 14.9% 8.2% 3.5% 0.4%
Alp Rodopman 16.0% 18.7% 13.7% 14.7% 10.0% 11.6% 7.2% 5.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Jake Rizika 6.9% 7.7% 6.9% 9.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.1% 13.8% 9.4% 8.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Robby Gearon 16.2% 13.9% 16.1% 13.6% 12.3% 10.3% 9.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 6.9% 9.1% 9.9% 12.1% 14.2% 12.2% 10.0% 4.5% 1.9%
James Maguire 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 9.1% 10.5% 15.7% 19.1% 14.2% 4.5%
Arthur Milot 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.3% 3.8% 7.0% 7.9% 9.3% 17.5% 21.7% 18.4% 5.5%
Samuel Shea 8.5% 8.8% 9.5% 9.5% 11.5% 11.0% 12.9% 11.8% 9.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Brian Reilly 1.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 7.2% 14.9% 33.1% 30.2%
Erin Godfrey 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 4.5% 7.6% 21.5% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.