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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+5.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+3.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+1.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20-0.42vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+3.03vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04-2.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-2.99vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.13-2.06vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.99-1.49vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University0.12-0.79vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.43-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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3.58Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University1.260.0%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.01Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.94Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.27Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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10.21Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.91Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 15.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 18.5% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Maguire | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Alp Rodopman | 18.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.5% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Milot | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 6.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 32.1% | 30.9% |
| Erin Godfrey | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 22.4% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.