Race 1A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Mabie 13.7% 13.6% 13.3% 13.5% 12.7% 11.4% 10.7% 6.3% 2.7% 2.1%
Elliot Lee 25.5% 22.7% 16.7% 14.2% 9.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Jeff Zita 19.9% 17.3% 17.6% 16.2% 11.5% 8.3% 6.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Jacob Henley 8.0% 10.2% 11.3% 10.5% 14.6% 13.4% 12.3% 10.6% 5.8% 3.3%
Bill White 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 4.3% 7.4% 6.7% 10.8% 14.2% 18.6% 25.0%
Libby Reeg 13.8% 11.5% 14.5% 13.6% 11.4% 13.2% 9.7% 7.4% 4.0% 0.9%
Brian Ritter 2.6% 2.9% 4.8% 6.5% 7.1% 8.9% 12.6% 14.5% 19.2% 20.9%
Riley Sorber 3.7% 4.5% 5.0% 6.6% 8.1% 8.2% 11.5% 15.1% 18.3% 19.0%
Caroline Ritter 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 7.0% 10.1% 9.6% 15.2% 18.9% 22.7%
Abigail Barnes 5.7% 8.9% 8.1% 9.3% 10.8% 13.6% 13.2% 13.5% 10.9% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.