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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.99vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.01+3.10vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.81+0.50vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28+0.51vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.34-1.66vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.88-0.04vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-0.72vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.06-1.68vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.30-4.26vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-0.97-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.1Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.5Hope College0.810.2%1st Place
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4.51Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.34Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.96Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
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7.28Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.32Northwestern University-1.060.0%1st Place
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5.74Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.24Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 27.1% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Henley | 9.6% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Jeff Zita | 20.2% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Mabie | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Riley Sorber | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 19.1% |
| Caroline Ritter | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| Bill White | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 24.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Brian Ritter | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.