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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.97vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.81+1.48vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+1.60vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-0.88+3.04vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.97+1.12vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-1.92vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.34-3.65vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.30-3.25vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.99-2.76vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.06-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.48Hope College0.810.2%1st Place
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4.6Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.04Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
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7.12Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.08Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.35Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.75Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.24Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.38Northwestern University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 29.2% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Zita | 20.2% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Riley Sorber | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| Brian Ritter | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 20.6% |
| Jacob Henley | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Mabie | 10.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Abigail Barnes | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Ritter | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 22.5% |
| Bill White | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.