Race 4A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Elliot Lee 27.9% 23.5% 15.4% 11.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Abigail Barnes 7.0% 5.8% 9.7% 9.5% 10.5% 13.5% 14.0% 12.2% 10.7% 7.1%
Ryan Mabie 12.3% 13.0% 13.2% 13.1% 13.6% 14.4% 10.0% 6.1% 3.6% 0.7%
Libby Reeg 11.2% 10.4% 16.0% 15.4% 13.3% 11.9% 9.0% 7.4% 3.8% 1.6%
Jeff Zita 19.9% 21.2% 16.8% 16.0% 10.3% 6.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Jacob Henley 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 11.8% 14.2% 11.4% 13.0% 10.8% 6.4% 2.5%
Riley Sorber 3.3% 3.0% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 9.0% 15.1% 16.3% 16.3% 18.5%
Brian Ritter 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 6.4% 7.1% 9.3% 11.1% 14.5% 18.9% 20.7%
Caroline Ritter 2.9% 4.9% 4.0% 4.8% 7.8% 9.0% 10.6% 13.6% 19.6% 22.8%
Bill White 2.4% 4.3% 4.4% 5.5% 7.0% 8.3% 9.0% 14.5% 19.0% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.