Race 5A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abigail Barnes 6.9% 8.4% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 13.0% 13.3% 12.6% 11.4% 6.8%
Jeff Zita 20.7% 17.8% 15.5% 16.9% 10.4% 8.5% 5.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Jacob Henley 7.8% 9.5% 11.0% 9.9% 12.9% 14.3% 11.9% 10.4% 8.6% 3.7%
Libby Reeg 11.1% 11.2% 14.8% 13.0% 14.4% 12.1% 10.6% 6.8% 4.5% 1.5%
Elliot Lee 26.1% 22.2% 16.8% 15.2% 8.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Riley Sorber 4.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 9.5% 10.3% 14.2% 19.9% 20.2%
Caroline Ritter 2.4% 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 7.4% 8.6% 11.9% 14.3% 17.4% 25.2%
Ryan Mabie 12.1% 14.9% 13.9% 12.4% 13.9% 10.7% 10.6% 6.2% 3.5% 1.8%
Brian Ritter 3.8% 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.6% 11.4% 14.1% 17.9% 24.4%
Kelly Logacho 4.3% 5.5% 5.0% 7.0% 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 16.0% 14.9% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.