Race 6A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Elliot Lee 27.9% 23.0% 15.7% 10.7% 9.9% 5.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Abigail Barnes 7.5% 6.0% 8.1% 9.5% 10.1% 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 11.2% 8.2%
Jeff Zita 18.7% 18.3% 18.1% 15.3% 11.7% 7.8% 5.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Riley Sorber 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.3% 11.6% 15.0% 17.7% 20.8%
Jacob Henley 9.2% 10.4% 10.2% 10.4% 12.7% 13.8% 13.0% 9.7% 6.7% 3.9%
Libby Reeg 13.3% 11.2% 12.5% 14.7% 12.4% 12.7% 9.9% 7.7% 4.4% 1.2%
Ryan Mabie 9.7% 14.7% 15.6% 14.8% 12.4% 12.1% 9.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1%
Caroline Ritter 3.1% 4.3% 3.8% 5.9% 7.3% 8.9% 9.9% 14.7% 17.9% 24.2%
Brian Ritter 3.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.9% 7.1% 8.6% 11.3% 13.0% 18.6% 25.1%
Kelly Logacho 3.7% 5.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 8.7% 12.1% 14.6% 17.6% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.