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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.81+2.48vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.01+3.22vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.06+0.10vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28+0.58vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.30+0.82vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.88+1.08vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.34-3.55vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-0.97-1.78vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.99-2.68vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.68-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Hope College0.810.2%1st Place
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5.22Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.1Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.58Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.82Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.08Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.45Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.22Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.32Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.72Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Zita | 22.2% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Henley | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 24.3% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Abigail Barnes | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Riley Sorber | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 20.5% | 21.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Brian Ritter | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 23.1% |
| Caroline Ritter | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 25.0% |
| Kelly Logacho | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.