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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.44+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+1.35vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+1.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86-2.24vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Stanford University2.4427.9%1st Place
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3.82University of Washington1.8316.1%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.3%1st Place
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5.35University of Hawaii1.057.6%1st Place
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6.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Southern California1.4012.2%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.9%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley0.865.7%1st Place
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3.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 27.9% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 16.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 4.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 29.1% | 12.2% |
| Luke Harris | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 70.6% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.