Race 6B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 22.0% 18.6% 16.3% 15.3% 11.5% 9.0% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Killian Corbishley 11.9% 14.0% 15.5% 14.4% 15.1% 13.6% 9.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 15.4% 15.0% 14.0% 15.4% 16.3% 12.8% 7.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Brooke Lyon 9.5% 11.1% 12.4% 13.6% 16.4% 16.3% 12.1% 6.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 6.0% 8.7% 24.2% 52.4%
Erica Lush 9.5% 8.3% 10.3% 12.3% 13.1% 15.0% 15.8% 11.0% 4.0% 0.7%
Lauren Turner 24.7% 22.8% 17.9% 16.9% 9.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Amanda Tooker 2.3% 4.4% 4.8% 4.4% 5.9% 11.2% 17.3% 26.2% 17.1% 6.4%
Leeds Pierce 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 1.0% 2.6% 3.7% 7.3% 12.0% 34.4% 35.2%
Michelle Czarnecki 2.9% 3.8% 5.7% 5.4% 8.2% 11.3% 16.7% 25.3% 16.0% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.