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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+1.03vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.94+1.95vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.08+1.17vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.32vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.38+1.32vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.71-1.80vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.75-2.67vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.58-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Hope College0.400.4%1st Place
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3.95Hope College-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.17Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.68Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.32Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
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5.2Northwestern University-1.710.1%1st Place
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5.33Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.31Grand Valley State University-0.580.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 43.5% | 30.0% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chris Boerema | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Harrison | 9.7% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 14.4% | 5.3% |
| Jonah Simon | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 14.2% | 71.0% |
| Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 23.6% | 9.1% |
| Drake Hullinger | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 25.7% | 10.7% |
| Addison Amstutz | 16.4% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.