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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.94+0.83vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.35vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.71-0.22vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.75-2.08vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-3.38-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Hope College0.400.6%1st Place
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2.83Hope College-0.940.2%1st Place
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3.35Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.78Northwestern University-1.710.1%1st Place
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3.92Western Michigan University-1.750.1%1st Place
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5.51Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 59.1% | 26.6% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chris Boerema | 16.8% | 28.1% | 24.9% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 1.6% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 11.2% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 24.2% | 19.7% | 3.7% |
| Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil | 6.9% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 29.1% | 7.5% |
| Drake Hullinger | 5.3% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 24.3% | 27.7% | 11.9% |
| Jonah Simon | 0.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.