← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University-0.58+2.29vs Predicted
-
2Hope College0.40+0.05vs Predicted
-
3Hope College-0.94+0.93vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.67vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-1.08-0.82vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University-3.38+1.30vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.79-2.61vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-1.75-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29Grand Valley State University-0.580.2%1st Place
-
2.05Hope College0.400.4%1st Place
-
3.93Hope College-0.940.1%1st Place
-
4.67Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.18Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.3Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
-
5.39Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
5.19Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Amstutz | 17.1% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Evan Rodgers | 44.4% | 27.0% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Boerema | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Harrison | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 2.3% |
| Jonah Simon | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 70.8% |
| Frank Zhu | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 26.1% | 11.8% |
| Drake Hullinger | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 22.6% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.