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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+0.99vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.36vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-3.38+4.24vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.08+0.19vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.33vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.94-2.09vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.79-2.59vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.75-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Hope College0.400.5%1st Place
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3.36Grand Valley State University-0.580.2%1st Place
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7.24Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
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4.19Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.67Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.91Hope College-0.940.1%1st Place
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5.41Northwestern University-1.790.1%1st Place
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5.23Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 46.5% | 26.2% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Addison Amstutz | 15.6% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jonah Simon | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 70.0% |
| Matthew Harrison | 8.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 4.9% |
| Chris Boerema | 11.5% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Frank Zhu | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 27.8% | 10.4% |
| Drake Hullinger | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.