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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+0.87vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-1.37+2.08vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.06vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-3.38+1.46vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.79-1.28vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.75-2.38vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.94-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Hope College0.400.5%1st Place
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4.08Northern Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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2.94Grand Valley State University-0.580.2%1st Place
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6.46Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.62Western Michigan University-1.750.1%1st Place
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3.31Hope College-0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 49.2% | 27.2% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 5.2% |
| Addison Amstutz | 17.5% | 25.5% | 24.0% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Jonah Simon | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 73.6% |
| Frank Zhu | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 23.1% | 30.3% | 9.6% |
| Drake Hullinger | 5.6% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 27.8% | 9.6% |
| Chris Boerema | 14.7% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.