← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.11+4.10vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.59vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+6.18vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute2.29+3.97vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.77+1.18vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.71+0.44vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.87+2.80vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.73-1.80vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University0.72+4.65vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy-1.33+8.38vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.79-4.80vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.50-4.66vs Predicted
-
13Washington College1.63-2.24vs Predicted
-
14Villanova University1.62-3.49vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College0.98-2.28vs Predicted
-
16Villanova University1.37-4.58vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.79-7.27vs Predicted
-
18University of Buffalo-1.31+0.39vs Predicted
-
19SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.42vs Predicted
-
20Columbia University-0.48-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.1Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
-
7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
9.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
-
7.97Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
6.18George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.44Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.8Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.2Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
13.65Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
18.38U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
-
6.2George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
7.34Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.76Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.51Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.72SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
-
11.42Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.73Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
-
18.39University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
-
15.58SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
16.88Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gerli | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 28.8% | 39.3% |
| Daniel DelBello | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Hennessey | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Smith | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 28.5% | 41.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 4.0% |
| Loren Myers | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 21.7% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.