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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+6.17vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29+5.94vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+6.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.11+1.13vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79+1.14vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+7.75vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.98+6.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.67vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.77-2.88vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.62+0.51vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.73-4.54vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.63-1.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.66vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05+1.64vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.48+1.75vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.79-6.13vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.71-10.70vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.37-6.47vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.72vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo-1.31-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.94Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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9.64Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.14George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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13.75Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.12George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.51Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.66Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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15.64SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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16.75Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.87Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.3Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.53Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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18.28U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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18.36University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Swikart | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 22.2% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Loren Myers | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 24.3% | 12.9% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 26.0% | 40.6% |
| Peter Smith | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 28.1% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.