Race 8A

pccsc-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophie Fisher 49.2% 27.4% 13.2% 7.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Olsen 8.0% 12.8% 15.8% 17.8% 17.8% 14.8% 8.6% 3.9% 0.6%
Martha Schuessler 6.0% 10.7% 13.0% 15.2% 17.1% 16.8% 13.2% 6.9% 1.3%
Morgana Manti 14.4% 16.6% 20.1% 17.9% 15.2% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Sammy Farkas 5.0% 8.0% 10.4% 11.9% 15.2% 18.9% 18.9% 10.0% 1.7%
Evelyn Engebretson 12.8% 18.1% 18.9% 16.9% 15.0% 9.8% 6.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Micaela Jorcino 2.0% 3.1% 3.9% 5.5% 7.6% 12.7% 19.1% 30.6% 15.3%
Sadie Hoberman 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 7.8% 11.7% 21.8% 30.3% 14.8%
Alexandra Toaxen 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 4.5% 7.3% 15.6% 65.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.