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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+2.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.14vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.350.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10-0.64vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.10+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.34+0.67vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.20-0.03vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21-2.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.44vs Predicted
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10Queen's University-0.31-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Old Dominion University2.870.2%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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3.0Cornell University3.350.3%1st Place
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3.36Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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8.45Hamilton College0.100.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.03Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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9.02Queen's University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 25.2% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 20.0% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leeds Pierce | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 33.7% | 34.0% |
| Michelle Czarnecki | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 15.8% | 5.8% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 27.5% | 17.4% | 5.7% |
| Erica Lush | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Goodfellow | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 25.0% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.