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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.11+4.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+4.20vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29+5.04vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50+3.22vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+1.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.79+0.25vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.62+3.87vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.59vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.87+0.40vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-3.57vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72+2.69vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.63-1.38vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.79-2.85vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05+1.61vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.37-3.61vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-7.10vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.98-4.25vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.48-1.12vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.70vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo-1.31-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.2George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.04Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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7.22Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.25George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.87Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.69Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.62Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.15Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
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15.61SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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11.39Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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16.88Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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18.3U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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18.37University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gerli | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Murphy | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Loren Myers | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 13.3% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 29.2% | 39.2% |
| Peter Smith | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 13.4% | 28.2% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.