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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.11+4.15vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.73+4.37vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+4.28vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29+4.03vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.62+5.40vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.79+0.21vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.80vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71-1.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.77-2.86vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-0.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.94vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.05+3.70vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.37-1.25vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.48+2.89vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-4.63vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-2.31vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.98-4.33vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.87-8.28vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.71vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo-1.31-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.28Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.03Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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10.4Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
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6.21George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.14George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.89Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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15.7SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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11.75Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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16.89Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.37Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.69Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.67SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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18.29U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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18.38University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gerli | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 3.4% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Loren Myers | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 21.3% | 14.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Liam Murphy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 27.7% | 39.7% |
| Peter Smith | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 13.7% | 25.9% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.