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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+6.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+3.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.73+3.48vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.63vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50+2.17vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.77+0.29vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-0.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.87+1.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-0.13vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63+0.47vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.79-4.72vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.37-0.36vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.62-2.13vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-4.17vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.72-1.41vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-0.43vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.98-4.29vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.48-1.14vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.68vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo-1.31-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.48Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.17Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.29George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.47Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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6.28George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.64Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.87Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
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13.59Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.57SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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12.71SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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16.86Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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18.32U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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18.36University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 4.2% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Loren Myers | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 25.0% | 21.3% | 13.4% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 28.4% | 40.4% |
| Peter Smith | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 28.0% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.