← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.58vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.11+3.10vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.71+3.52vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.73+2.38vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute2.29+2.95vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.87+3.68vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.50+0.40vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.79-1.95vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.79-0.02vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University1.62-0.42vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University-0.48+4.86vs Predicted
-
13Villanova University1.37-1.25vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.77-7.88vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook0.05+0.48vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.98-3.28vs Predicted
-
17University of Buffalo-1.31+1.28vs Predicted
-
18Drexel University0.72-4.26vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.65vs Predicted
-
20Washington College1.63-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
5.1Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
-
6.52Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.38Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.95Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.68Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
7.4Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.05George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
8.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
9.98Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
-
10.58Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
-
16.86Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
-
11.75Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.12George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
-
15.48SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
12.72SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
-
18.28University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.74Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
18.35U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
-
10.63Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Swikart | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Hennessey | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Loren Myers | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 25.5% | 11.6% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Smith | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 26.2% | 40.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 27.4% | 41.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.