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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+6.19vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.73+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+6.08vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+5.94vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+4.53vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.79+0.25vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.11-1.66vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute2.29-0.24vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71-2.67vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.72+3.72vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.98+1.84vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.77-5.65vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.37-1.29vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.62-3.48vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-4.54vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-8.53vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.42vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.37vs Predicted
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19Columbia University-0.48-2.18vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo-1.31-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.94Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.25George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.76Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.72Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.84SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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6.35George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.71Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.52Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.46Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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15.58SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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18.37U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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16.82Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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18.39University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Hennessey | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 4.1% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 26.7% | 41.7% |
| Loren Myers | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 23.7% | 11.5% |
| Peter Smith | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 28.2% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.