← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute2.29+6.97vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.73+4.40vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.87+6.69vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.66vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.79+1.12vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.77+0.28vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.11-1.69vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University1.62+2.39vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College0.98+3.78vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.79-0.11vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University1.37+0.46vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.72+1.83vs Predicted
-
13Washington College1.63-2.21vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-5.10vs Predicted
-
15University of Buffalo-1.31+3.22vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.71-9.64vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.50-9.94vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.38vs Predicted
-
19SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.38vs Predicted
-
20Columbia University-0.48-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.97Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
6.4Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.69Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
6.12George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.28George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.31Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.39Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.78SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
-
9.89Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
-
11.46Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.83Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.79Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
18.22University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
-
6.36Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
7.06Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
18.38U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
-
15.62SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
16.89Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Smith | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 41.8% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 27.6% | 42.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 3.6% |
| Loren Myers | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 25.4% | 24.6% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.