← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+7.90vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.71+4.38vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.77+3.30vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.11+1.12vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.53vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.87+3.63vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.79-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.73-1.79vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.50-1.95vs Predicted
-
10Villanova University1.37+1.50vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute2.29-2.96vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University1.62-1.23vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.79-2.84vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University0.72-0.27vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College0.98-2.28vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-0.46vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Military Academy-1.33+1.34vs Predicted
-
18Washington College1.63-7.47vs Predicted
-
19Columbia University-0.48-2.21vs Predicted
-
20University of Buffalo-1.31-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
6.38Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.3George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.12Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
9.63Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.37George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.21Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.05Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
11.5Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.04Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
10.77Villanova University1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.16Cornell University1.790.0%1st Place
-
13.73Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
12.72SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
-
15.54SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
18.34U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
-
10.53Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
16.79Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
-
18.37University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Neuman | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cody Stansky | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Sasaki | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 28.4% | 39.8% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Loren Myers | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 23.7% | 11.2% |
| Peter Smith | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 25.5% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.