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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.10vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.83vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.86-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University2.8944.1%1st Place
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3.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Washington1.8313.7%1st Place
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6.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.8%1st Place
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5.27University of Hawaii1.055.9%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.2%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley0.863.9%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.7%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California0.906.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 44.1% | 24.7% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 13.7% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 12.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 4.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 9.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 7.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 68.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.