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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.21+3.03vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+0.91vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.10+4.61vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.34+0.63vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.20-0.05vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35-5.08vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.47vs Predicted
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10Queen's University-0.31-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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5.03Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.91Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.61Hamilton College0.100.0%1st Place
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3.33Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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6.63University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.95Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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2.92Cornell University3.350.3%1st Place
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4.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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9.0Queen's University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Corbishley | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Leeds Pierce | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 34.2% | 35.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 19.1% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Czarnecki | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 4.6% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 26.2% | 17.4% | 5.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 25.2% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Goodfellow | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 23.4% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.