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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+3.80vs Predicted
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2Villanova University2.04+5.91vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.40+7.07vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.08+6.89vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.47+7.72vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78-0.56vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-3.60vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89-2.93vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.03+2.12vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.56-0.46vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.21-0.35vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.60-5.79vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-2.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.27-3.86vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.49-8.75vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.16-1.35vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo-1.70-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.91Villanova University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University1.400.0%1st Place
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10.89Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.72Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.44George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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5.07Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.12Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.54Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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10.65SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.27Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.25George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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14.65Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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16.99University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eamonn Austin | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Paige | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Sam White | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 23.9% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Casey Brown | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Richard Hall | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 26.1% | 11.4% |
| Peter Sander | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 29.4% | 13.2% |
| John Porterfield | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 14.4% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.