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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.78+6.20vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.95vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+2.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.07vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61-0.02vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74-1.38vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.31+0.34vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.51+1.14vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-2.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.46vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.39-1.49vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.47-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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3.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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10.14Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.31Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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10.51Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mason | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 19.0% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 20.5% | 26.5% | 15.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 27.0% | 20.8% |
| Heather Grosso | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 20.5% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.